Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.121495 0.135305 0.149447 0.164971 0.181497 0.198526 0.217363
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.102549 0.121506 0.141654 0.164532 0.189660 0.216298 0.246551
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.091439 0.114311 0.139399 0.168681 0.201652 0.237375 0.278755
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.080753 0.106296 0.135159 0.169711 0.209483 0.253400 0.305134
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.071036 0.098368 0.130155 0.169118 0.214883 0.266282 0.327730
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.063631 0.092448 0.126871 0.169979 0.221526 0.280278 0.351405
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.056424 0.086091 0.122494 0.169046 0.225670 0.291106 0.371257
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.052180 0.083090 0.121902 0.172412 0.234719 0.307535 0.397558
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.047204 0.078683 0.119182 0.172850 0.240001 0.319359 0.418379
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.042588 0.074362 0.116244 0.172732 0.244382 0.329958 0.437659
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.038046 0.069751 0.112605 0.171443 0.247091 0.338383 0.454242
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.034928 0.066915 0.111121 0.172764 0.252940 0.350545 0.475286
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.032849 0.065528 0.111610 0.176758 0.262354 0.367351 0.502345
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029599 0.062082 0.109032 0.176507 0.266228 0.377262 0.521016
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028076 0.061207 0.109995 0.180973 0.276183 0.394770 0.549072
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025735 0.058807 0.108613 0.182125 0.281747 0.406752 0.570344
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.023143 0.055752 0.106088 0.181550 0.284931 0.415672 0.587800
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021169 0.053566 0.104717 0.182478 0.290037 0.426995 0.608253
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018925 0.050677 0.102110 0.181517 0.292512 0.434896 0.624398
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017882 0.049884 0.102671 0.185050 0.301035 0.450574 0.650359
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.016270 0.047855 0.101175 0.185514 0.305328 0.460767 0.669405
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.014679 0.045697 0.099346 0.185394 0.308753 0.469798 0.686974
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.013003 0.043169 0.096769 0.184047 0.310396 0.476450 0.701490